The probabilities for the 97+ ovr gone pro locker pack (L) in the store, say 97+=100%, 98+=20%, and 99 is 6%. Assuming that only gone pro players can be pulled from these, and there are not any 98 ovr gone pro cards, wouldn't the effective probability to get a 99ovr be around 20%? I'm bad at probability, STATS 250 wasn't a class i did too well in.
thinkinthoedd
Posts: 23
WillGallagher
Posts: 112
Your logic is sound, I noticed this last night and thought the same. Of course it’s EA so maybe it will be just 6% of an over 97 or they’ll add a 98 player or 2 just to trip us up.
thinkinthoedd
Posts: 23
WillGallagher said:Your logic is sound, I noticed this last night and thought the same. Of course it’s EA so maybe it will be just 6% of an over 97 or they’ll add a 98 player or 2 just to trip us up.
I would absolutely love if pulling a 99 one in four chance but I think they probably will either add some 98 or just make it only a 6% chance to get a 99
thinkinthoedd
Posts: 23
WillGallagher said:Your logic is sound, I noticed this last night and thought the same. Of course it’s EA so maybe it will be just 6% of an over 97 or they’ll add a 98 player or 2 just to trip us up.
Also, the pack cost $20 of real money worth of points or 300 locker fragments which will take a while to get. I feel like if you’re spending $20 you should be guaranteed to 99 but that’s just me.
OATS09
Posts: 1,070
I'm not sure Gone Pro players are the only ones in the lockers. We got other programs out of the eggs so I think it's any program.
WillGallagher
Posts: 112
thinkinthoedd said:Also, the pack cost $20 of real money worth of points or 300 locker fragments which will take a while to get. I feel like if you’re spending $20 you should be guaranteed to 99 but that’s just me.
I agree, but apart from the season 6, 7and 8 passes I’ve not spent a cent and not about to start.
Yeah those fragments aren’t easy to get. I’ve gotten a bit over 100 and that’s been tough sledding. Hopefully the draft production tokens pay well.
I wish they had objectives to earn more like the Easter promo did. Only way to get then I think is via the event tab and play games.
WillGallagher
Posts: 112
OATS09 said:I'm not sure Gone Pro players are the only ones in the lockers. We got other programs out of the eggs so I think it's any program.
Excellent point ! Would have been nice - were the CFP lockers like that ? I only started playing in time to open 1 locker (and jagged a LTD BND) the only card I got was CFP. I imagine those lockers would be indicative of these but I’m guessing.
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